Female athletes, women's sports advocates speak on Capitol Hill as trans athlete issue hovers over midterms Penguins forward Andrei Kuzmenko's father killed in bear attack on remote Russia fishing trip Dallas Cowboys cheerleaders announce they're'ready' for historic Rio trip, Sapp update & Mr T sighting Lane Kiffin suggests Ole Miss broke rules with in-stadium music during LSU's loss to Rebels Caleb Williams' repost dismissed antisemitic incident involving Dave Portnoy - and almost no one cares Commanders push back on'bulls--' viral narrative that they didn't care about Jayden Daniels' elbow injury Team USA golfers welcome Trump's expected Presidents Cup visit, share pride in representing America Aaron Judge says he intends to be ready for Yankees' Wild Card series despite calf injury Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. says his $500M contract was for past performance - not future results Cardinals coach Mike LaFleur backs Marvin Harrison Jr as viral videos fuel questions about receiver's effort Justin Verlander on the Kate Upton'f--' tweet heard round the world after he lost close Cy Young race Father Simon Teller shares the story behind Providence College's viral dorm blessings Economist: 'You can get rich attacking capitalism' in America Christian school network surges nationwide amid school-choice push, 'Families need a way out' CLASH: Expert says US-China dialogue just ISN'T working OutKick Sports Pro wrestling star Rohan Raja looking to'steal the show' with Andrade in title match at Maple Leaf Pro PPV The AEW National Championship is on the line Oct. 3 at Maple Leaf Gardens on the MLP pay-per-view card Rohan Raja has the opportunity of a lifetime on Oct. 3. The Ravenous pro wrestling star will take on All Elite Wrestling's (AEW) Andrade at Maple Leaf Pro Wrestling's (MLP) Northern Rising pay-per-view in Toronto with the AEW National Championship on the line. Raja suggested in an interview with OutKick Dropkick that a fire was lit under him after he was left off the first Northern Rising card. But being back at Maple Leaf Gardens - a historic venue in pro wrestling - has gotten Raja locked in to do some damage. I'm super excited for this.

Professors are tearing their hair out over AI detectors. Timothy Paustian has tried everything to stop his students from writing essays with AI. When ChatGPT first came out, Paustian, a biology professor at the University of Wisconsin at Madison, tested AI detectors that promised to flag machine-generated prose. They were "comically bad," he told me. Then he started sneaking invisible prompts into his assignments that only chatbots would respond to.

Child welfare referred Black parents to law enforcement 14,000 times in 7 years, despite no findings of abuse or neglect. After Robinson had a false positive test for cocaine that year, the hospital barred her from breastfeeding her daughter, and child welfare officials placed her under spousal supervision. Get your news from a source that's not owned and controlled by oligarchs. The mothers of Black newborns are more likely than those of White newborns to be referred to law enforcement over allegations of substance use during pregnancy, according to The Marshall Project's new analysis of child welfare data from eight states. The referrals are often the result of unreliable hospital drug tests performed at childbirth that are easily misinterpreted and produce false positive results as much as half of the time, which can prompt incorrect reporting to child welfare and law enforcement authorities.

Recent work has established a fundamental trilemma between Byzantine robustness, local differential privacy (LDP), and optimization error in distributed learning. We show that this trilemma does not universally extend to generalization error, but instead depends critically on the privacy regime. Specifically, in the high-noise regime (strong privacy), we prove that increasing privacy reduces the generalization error, i.e., there is no tension between robustness and privacy. In the low-noise regime (weaker privacy), however, the tension between robustness and privacy reappears and increasing privacy indeed degrades generalization. Our theory explains this surprising non-monotonic behavior of the generalization error via matching lower and upper bounds on the algorithmic stability of Byzantine-robust distributed learning under LDP constraints. We corroborate and further analyze these theoretical findings with empirical evaluations.

A central challenge in statistical modeling is identifying the subset of features that belong in the true regression model. The classical best subset selection problem, recently made tractable via mixed-integer optimization (MIO), finds the globally optimal sparse solution. It does not, however, make use of any information beyond the observed data. In many applied settings, domain experts can meaningfully rank or score the relevance of candidate predictors, yet no existing framework integrates such probabilistic expert assessments directly into the best-subsets objective. This paper presents Expert-Implied Bayesian Best Subsets (EBBS), a method that incorporates domain-expert probability estimates of feature relevance into the MIO best-subsets problem through a maximum a posteriori (MAP) framework. Expert views from multiple respondents are aggregated into a single prior probability per feature using the Poisson binomial distribution for marginal probability estimates, the pairwise win rate for pairwise comparisons, or the normalized mean rank for ordinal rankings. This probability enters the objective function as a log-odds penalty term that smoothly encourages or discourages the selection of each feature consistent with the expert consensus. This paper provides analytic derivations of the MAP formulation and characterizes its theoretical properties. The proposed model reduces to Best Subsets when experts all have no views. Empirical results on synthetic and real datasets are forthcoming.

Bogomolny, Bohigas and Schmit (BBS) found that the spectrum of the pairwise distance matrix on N points sampled from a smooth d-dimensional manifold encodes a signature of the underlying geometry. We develop I-BBS (Inference-BBS), a coordinate-free method that identifies a low-dimensional latent sub-manifold embedded in a high-dimensional ambient distance matrix alone, without accessing an ambient high-dimensional vector space. It therefore applies even when that space is only partly observable or undefined. We model the ambient embedding by two classes of generative noise, model-based and model-free. The noise mixes the latent signal with off-manifold components, so the eigenvalues reorganise collectively and the latent geometry cannot be read off eigenvalue by eigenvalue. We recover it instead from two integer-stable signatures that survive the noise: the multiplicity of the top non-Perron multiplet, which fixes $d$, and a parameter-free law for how the multiplet positions shrink as the noise grows. On synthetic spheres $S^1$, $S^2$ and $S^3$ these integer signatures are far more stable under noise than the continuous spectral slope, and a blind test recovers both the manifold and the noise model from a single distance matrix. Applications to neural-network representations and to the dynamic training regime are developed in two companion papers.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, where free-text explanations such as chain-of-thought and post-hoc rationales are used to justify model outputs. Yet it remains unclear whether these explanations are sufficient, i.e., if they contain enough information to explain the model's output-generating process. We generalize classical sufficiency from feature attributions to arbitrary explanations and prove that explanation sufficiency can change depending on the input distribution, which must be explicitly defined for LLM explanations. We propose using the LLM itself to generate alternative inputs conditioned on an explanation, capturing its beliefs about possible inputs. We formalize self-consistent sufficiency as a goal for free-text explanations and introduce an information-theoretic metric, SCSuff, that enables evaluation of free-text explanations without relying on predefined biases or shortcuts. Our experiments show that SCSuff agrees with targeted perturbation tests where applicable and demonstrate that explanation sufficiency can vary with the input distribution. We find LLM explanations are generally insufficient and weakly correlated with model size, accuracy, or output entropy. Analysis of final-token hidden states shows that top and bottom SCSuff scores can be predicted from internal representations, suggesting that SCSuff can guide detection and improvement of sufficient LLM explanations. The code for this paper is available at https://github.com/rajesh-lab/self-consistent-sufficiency .

The global minimum-variance portfolio (GMVP) is the canonical decision built from an estimated covariance matrix, yet covariance estimators are universally evaluated by matrix-norm loss, which is not the object the decision depends on. We characterise exactly how covariance-estimation error maps into GMVP suboptimality. We prove an exact regret identity and a non-asymptotic bound showing decision regret depends on the estimation error only through its action on the portfolio weights, scaled by portfolio concentration and the conditioning of the true covariance. From this we derive the decision geometry: GMVP regret is invariant to a (p-1)-dimensional projection of the p^2-dimensional error matrix, with invariance to the covariance-scale direction as an exact special case. We then apply the framework to heavy-tailed returns (tail index kappa in (2,4)), establishing the regret convergence rate implied by the centred operator-norm rate, and confirm the theory on a skew-t/t-copula simulation design with pre-registered analysis. The decision-focused advantage is a sharper constant and a concentration discount rather than a faster rate; we report an honest high-conditioning boundary of the rate prediction. The results complement recent decision-focused learning approaches by supplying the exact estimation geometry and consistency theory they lack.

Binary classification from positive-only samples is a variant of PAC learning in which the learner receives i.i.d. samples from the positive region of an unknown target concept, but is evaluated under the original distribution (which places mass on both positive and negative regions). This model dates back to Natarajan [1987, STOC], and the characterization of improper learning is well-known -- it even appears in textbooks. The characterization of proper positive-only learning, however, has long remained open. In this work, we revisit and settle this question: a concept class is properly learnable from positive-only samples if and only if it has finite VC dimension and satisfies a new combinatorial condition, which we call uniform exterior separability. Together with several separation results, this characterization reveals a surprisingly rich landscape that differs sharply from standard PAC learning: proper and improper learning are separated, randomized and deterministic proper learning are separated, there are classes for which no ERM is a learner, and finite VC dimension does not suffice even for non-uniform learning. Along the way, we introduce new combinatorial dimensions that we believe can be of broader interest in learning theory.

Modern machine learning systems have outgrown their origins as isolated predictive constructs, evolving into complex socio-technical architectures that actively mediate human opportunity. As algorithms increasingly determine access to economic and social opportunities, it has become widely recognized that these systems are deeply embedded with the structural inequalities and prejudices of their environments. The field of algorithmic fairness emerged in response to the growing recognition that models optimized for predictive accuracy can systematically disadvantage marginalized groups. Early mitigation strategies, however, rested on fragile simplifications that limited their effectiveness in complex sociotechnical environments. This thesis identifies and addresses two fundamental limitations of contemporary fairness paradigms: the reliance on deterministic point estimates for auditing and the treatment of individuals as isolated entities devoid of structural context. First, the diagnosis of algorithmic unfairness has traditionally depended on scalar metrics that fail to capture the nuances of real-world deployment. This deterministic approach ignores the high statistical variance inherent in small, intersectional groups, often leading to false alarms or missed detections of bias. Furthermore, standard auditing struggles with the opacity of black-box models, frequently conflating unjustifiable bias with the influence of legitimate features.